There’s a limit how much media extolling of Rouhani this blog will take. Certainly when it serves as a pretext to ignoring reports on Tehran’s growing strategic capabilities.
The ISIS has lately been quite prolific in this context. In a report on Iran’s critical nuclear capabilities, it determines that:
“Iran is expected to achieve a critical capability in mid-2014, which is defined as the technical capability to produce sufficient weapon-grade uranium from its safeguarded stocks of low enriched uranium for a nuclear explosive, without being detected. “
In another ISIS report on Iran’s centrifuges, it states that:
“Iran’s tandem cascades appear to be well-designed for producing near 20 percent
enriched UF6; however, if Iran were to pursue weapons-grade uranium, its tandem cascades
could be important assets.”
Meanwhile, according to a new report on Iran’s missile capabilities by the U.S. National Air and Space Intelligence Center (NASIC), Tehran could develop and test an inter-continental ballistic missile capable of reaching the United States by 2015. A weighty issue, which to some may even sound like an exaggeration – which is why the United States Institute for Peace prepared a digestible summary of the issue. Just need to read it.
Also on the missile issue, Security Council members Russia and China ironically refused to back a report by a UN panel of experts that unanimously concluded that Iran violated U.N. sanctions when it launched several ballistic missiles a year ago. This head-in-the-sand approach regarding Iran only serves to harm global peace and security.
We’ll end with a growing concern: the danger of cyber attacks. A new report from the Atlantic Council is skeptical about current Iranian capabilities in this area, but advises caution when it comes to future escalation.
The waiting period is over. Back to work.